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| Name | The Collapse of Russian Arms Exports - Competitors, Ukraine & The Future of Russian Exports |
| Video Uploader | Video From Perun |
| Upload Date | This Video Uploaded At 17-03-2024 11:14:26 |
| Video Discription | For decades, the USSR and then the Russian Federation competed with the US to dominate the global arms market. In 2023, according to SIPRI, Russia didn't even make the top five list of exporters. In this episode, I look at the evolution of Russian arms exports in 2022 and 2023, examine the drivers, and look at some of the nations (like France) that have taken market share as Russia drops. Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PerunAU Caveats, Comments and Corrections: I refer to MBDA 'deliveries' - the correct word is 'revenues' All normal caveats and disclaimers apply In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions, judgements or evaluations. Also note that while I may use words like 'contracted' in this video - be aware I may be using the terms to refer to the SIPRI order year. In some cases, these order dates may align to a contract being signed. Please review the SIPRI methodology. Readings and Sources: Arms transfer data in this episode is primarily sourced from the SIPRI Arms Transfer Database - Please explore the methodology and other background information relating to the source https://www.sipri.org/databases/armstransfers/sources-and-methods Bronk, J - The Mysterious Case of the Missing Russian Air Force https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/mysterious-case-missing-russian-air-force Cranny Evans, S - Russia’s Artillery War in Ukraine: Challenges and Innovations https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/russias-artillery-war-ukraine-challenges-and-innovations MBDA order and delivery figures https://breakingdefense.com/2024/03/dassault-thales-mbda-bank-extraordinary-2023-sales-with-more-projected/ Cover image from: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/25/winters-approach-sets-the-clock-ticking-for-ukraine-and-russia.html Kuwait receiving upgraded Abrams https://www.janes.com/defence-news/news-detail/kuwait-receives-first-m1a2k-tank Reporting on France becoming the number 2 exporter https://www.politico.eu/article/france-overtake-russia-world-weapons-exporter/#:~:text=RUSSIA'S%20FALL%20AND%20FRANCE'S%20RISE,major%20arms%20from%202019%2D23. https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20230802-france-may-soon-overtake-russia-as-the-world-s-no-2-arms-exporter CRS - Russian Arms Sales and Defense Industry https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R46937#:~:text=Despite%20its%20global%20presence%2C%20Russia,of%20Russian%20arms%20since%202016. Russian media on Indian Su-30 program https://sputniknews.in/20240123/iaf-su-30mki-upgrade-program-bharat-should-hurry-up-to-avoid-operational-gaps-6303773.html CSIS - Sellers Remorse: The Challenges Facing Russia's Arms Exports https://www.csis.org/analysis/sellers-remorse-challenges-facing-russias-arms-exports Russia delivers third S-400 system to India https://www.janes.com/defence-news/news-detail/russia-delivers-third-s-400-system-to-india#:~:text=India%20signed%20a%20USD5.,by%20the%20end%20of%202023. RAND - is Su-75 a case of vapor marketing? https://www.rand.org/pubs/commentary/2022/01/is-russias-su-75-checkmate-aircraft-a-case-of-vapor.html Reporting on claimed Russian buybacks from Myanmar https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Ukraine-war/Russia-buying-back-arms-parts-exported-to-Myanmar-and-India?s=08 General Reporting on Russian production output https://tass.com/defense/1526773 https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/15/rate-of-russian-military-production-worries-european-war-planners#img-5 Russian-Iranian cooperation https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-iran-ties-have-reached-new-level-russian-defence-minister-2023-09-20/ Russian Reporting on prospects of Su-35 production in PRC https://tass.com/russia/816393 US weapon orders surge https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/29/us-foreign-arms-sales-russia-china-00138390 US to sell F-35 to Greece https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-27/us-to-sell-40-f-35-fighter-jets-to-greece-gift-other-aircraft' Reporting on Singapore getting its German Type 218SGs https://www.defensenews.com/naval/2023/07/21/singapores-navy-receives-first-of-four-new-german-built-submarines/ France SPG production https://mil.in.ua/en/news/france-will-produce-dozens-of-caesar-acs-for-ukraine/ Russia not exporting lancets due to domestic demand https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-not-exporting-lancet-drones-domestic-demand-high-tass-2023-11-15/#:~:text=%22The%20Lancet%20is%20also%20receiving,no%20export%20permit%20documentation%20yet. Timestamps: 00:00 — Opening Words 01:18 — What Am I Talking About? 02:00 — Caveats & Notes 02:55 — The Russian Market Collapse 14:57 — What is Driving the Decline? 27:15 — Filling the Void? 35:32 — Why Russian Exports Matter 45:04 — What Next for the Russian Arms Sector? 55:15 — Channel Update |
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