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Name	The Black Sea & The Naval War in Ukraine - Drones, Grain, Blockades & the Bridge to Crimea
Video Uploader	Video From Perun
Upload Date	This Video Uploaded At 30-07-2023 12:31:36
Video Discription	Sponsored by Ground News: Compare news coverage. Spot media bias. Avoid algorithms. Try Ground News today and get 30% off your subscription by going to https://ground.news/perun Description: While the hardest fighting in Ukraine takes place on land, the Black Sea front saw a stand-off through most of 2022 and early 2023. Russia's fleet was ranged away from the coast by AShMs, but continued to fire cruise missiles from afar. As time has gone on, the fighting has evolved and new weapons have been deployed, including long range drones. At the same time, the deal which allowed millions of tonnes of foodstuffs to safely transit the Black Sea now seems to have ended, setting the stage for a potential escalation in fighting and a potential blockade. In this episode, I look at the naval war in 2023, the strikes on the bridge, and the potentially vast implications of the end of the grain export deal. Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PerunAU Caveats and corrections: All standard caveats and comments apply At one point I refer to Russia's reasons for 'remaining' in the grain deal. From context I hope it's clear I mean to refer to the decision to leave/not renew it. Reporting & reading: Relevant TASS Reporting: https://tass.com/politics/1571451 https://tass.com/defense/1650349 https://tass.com/emergencies/1648153 https://tass.com/politics/1648201 https://tass.com/economy/1648647 https://tass.com/economy/1651875 https://tass.com/politics/1650421 https://tass.com/economy/1649315 https://tass.com/politics/1631649 Turkish efforts last year:: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/10/31/grain-exports-continue-despite-russian-withdrawal US claims of russian mine laying https://news.usni.org/2023/07/19/russia-says-all-ships-in-the-black-sea-heading-to-ukraine-are-potential-carriers-of-military-cargo Reporting on grain deal https://www.politico.eu/article/the-black-sea-grain-deal-is-all-but-dead-what-next/ https://apnews.com/article/grain-import-ban-ukraine-russia-war-85491c0420045fca26ad37907e3e0d74 (grain import bans in EU) https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-sees-no-grounds-renew-grain-deal-foreign-ministry-2023-07-04/ https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/7/20/at-least-11-hurt-in-russian-raids-on-ukraines-mykolaiv-odesa https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-odesa-strike-grain-facilities-naval-drill/32512956.html https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/21/world/europe/ukraine-russia-grain-shipping.html https://www.ft.com/content/21065943-4b8c-4f22-a91a-806b5d571860 https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/kremlin-rebuffs-un-chiefs-call-return-black-sea-grain-deal-2023-07-25/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-25/imf-sees-grain-prices-rising-up-to-15-from-black-sea-deal-pause?in_source=embedded-checkout-banner https://apnews.com/article/black-sea-grain-shipments-ukraine-russia-war-3e79b0842ca97c96e73b824d0e621722 https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/terror-and-security/russia-ukraine-war-missile-attacks-grain-exports/ The CNN video of UA naval drones https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/30/europe/ukraine-drones-black-sea-intl/index.html Reporting on Erdogan claiming the extension of the grain deal https://www.dw.com/en/erdogan-claims-putin-agreed-to-renew-black-sea-grain-deal/a-66238371 Reporting on AU and grain deal https://www.politico.eu/article/african-union-calls-to-reinstate-the-ukrainian-grain-deal/ Reporting on Sevastopol defences https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2023/04/new-defenses-show-russia-on-defensive-in-sevastopol-as-ukraine-attacks/ Opinion piece by retired US admiral on the possibility of escorting navy ships https://www.japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2023/07/26/commentary/world-commentary/russian-ukraine-grain-ships/ Australian Exports: https://www.agriculture.gov.au/about/news/australian-wheat-export-snapshot-jan-23 Decline in UA production https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/analyses/2023-02-27/agricultural-production-ukraine-has-declined-significantly Ukraine drone attacks https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/ukraines-drone-raid-on-russian-naval-base-was-tactically-innovative-but-not-revolutionary/ https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/10/29/drone-attack-repelled-in-sevastopol-moscow-installed-official http://www.hisutton.com/Ukraine-Maritime-Drones-Evolution.html International Law Studies Vol 64, The Law of Naval Operations The Law of Submarine Warfare Today - Jon L. Jacobson https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1756&context=ils Bridge attack: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-66229533 Timestamps: 00:00:00 — The Black Sea 00:01:29 — What Am I Talking About? 00:03:42 — The Black Sea Campaign To 2023 00:10:39 — The Bridge 00:18:58 — The Grain Deal 00:24:19 — Cutting The Lifeline? 00:36:42 — Grain, Markets, Politics 00:42:40 — Impacting The Players? 00:50:23 — Alternative Options 00:56:51 — A New Theatre Of War? 00:59:00 — Conclusions 01:00:17 — Channel Update
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The Black Sea & The Naval War in Ukraine - Drones, Grain, Blockades & the Bridge to Crimea

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